Posted on 07. Apr, 2010 by Jesse.
Convective Addiction’s Brad Goddard and Jesse Risley intercept a SVR warned supercell SW of Moberly, MO on Sunday, April 04, 2010. This storm went tornado warned shortly later, with several unconfirmed touchdows in the Roanoke and Mexico, MO areas. Adam Lucio was also on this same cell, and will be posting impressive footage from his [...]
Posted on 06. Apr, 2010 by Ryan.
Following a what-might-have-been chase in northern Missouri yesterday with respect to tornado chances and severe weather, today is looking like a much more linear storm motion day. With a filling surface low sitting in SE Nebraska a large warm sector has overtake Missouri, Illinois and the southern half of Iowa. Temperatures at the surface will [...]
Posted on 03. Apr, 2010 by Ryan.
For the better part of last week, models continued to be out of sync with each other with respect to the timing of the next significant system to affect the mid-sections of the United States and therefore did not warrant an updated forecast. But with stronger consensus being established amongst medium and short range models, [...]
Posted on 30. Mar, 2010 by Ryan.
While many forecasters remain focused on this upcoming Fridays severe potential, there is another system beginning to show up on medium range models that are gaining credence. Since we are still a week out there are obviously difference between the models, most notably in the timing of the system. With the storm still 150+ hour [...]
Posted on 28. Mar, 2010 by Skip.
Today marks the three year anniversary of a huge plains tornado outbreak. On March 28, 2007 over a hundred tornado reports came in from Nebraska down through Texas as a powerful storm system moved in from the west and fired off dozens of supercells along a dryline. Check out my chase log from the day: [...]
Posted on 25. Mar, 2010 by Jesse.
Are you tired of popping anti-SDS pharmaceutical products? If so, this weekend offers a potentially paltry cold core event in SE KS and Western MO. The 00z GFS and NAM, as well as the 12z ECMWF are fairly synchronous in propelling an upper level cold core low eastward along the KS/OK border region from 06z [...]
Posted on 19. Mar, 2010 by Jesse.
Today’s 12Z model runs have started to come into better agreement regarding the upcoming storm system that should move out of the Southern Plains and into the Ohio River valley by early Monday. Models seem to be centering on a more southerly track from what was being indicated much earlier in the week, which isn’t [...]
Posted on 18. Mar, 2010 by Adam.
Looking into the forecasting crystal ball, there is growing evidence of a more active weather pattern across the central portions of the United States. Inherently, that will lead to the possibility of severe weather episodes across that same region. With a strong baroclinic zone setting up across the mid-section of the CONUS there is a [...]
Posted on 16. Mar, 2010 by Jesse.
Have you got your vernal bliss on yet? If so, an early spring snow storm could be arriving just in time to help you get your groove on. It could be a whopper; hold the pickles! This evening’s model runs are in, with the 00Z suite of model runs (GFS and NAM) continuing the trend [...]