Archive for 'Uncategorized'
Significant Severe Weather Outbreak Expected – FCST: 04/10/11
Posted on10. Apr, 2011 by Jesse.
A significant severe weather outbreak appears poised to take aim on the Upper Mississippi Valley/Superior Uplands region of the Upper Midwest on Sunday afternoon into the evening hours. This potentially significant SVR weather event could feature all modes of SVR weather, including large hail, damaging winds, and strong tornadoes from long-lived, discrete supercells. A potent [...]
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FCST: 04/09/11 – Midwest / Mid-Mississippi Valley
Posted on08. Apr, 2011 by Jesse.
Saturday is looking to be sort of the archetypal “day before the day” severe weather event in the central CONUS. A powerful upper-level trough currently situated over the Great Basin/Sonora region of the SW CONUS will continue digging eastward as it completes amplification within the longwave regime, taking aim on the Upper Midwest by the [...]
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Chase Report: IA – 04/03/11
Posted on06. Apr, 2011 by Jesse.
I chased this day with Dr. Tom Williams and Rich Sample, both from Western Illinois University. We initially targeted Mt. Pleasant, IA, but later decided to drop south to near Keosauqua, IA after some of the short-range numerical models were showing convection erupting across parts of far N MO and far S IA between 21z [...]
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FCST: 04/03/11 – Upper Midwest / Central Plains
Posted on02. Apr, 2011 by Jesse.
Much of the Midwest is gearing up for what looks to be a severe weather day on Sunday, particularly in the evening into the overnight hours. An upper-level trough currently centered over British Columbia will gyrate eastward over the next several days, evolving into a more neutral to positively tilted phase as it perambulates towards [...]
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Hopeful Signs for April?
Posted on28. Mar, 2011 by Adam.
Well, in some of my recent posts I talked about the potential for a significant chase day if only the NAM would fall in line with the GFS. Yea…that did not quite pan out. Not that I can say I am surprised. That is one reason I try and not hype an event that early [...]
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March 26, 2011 Chase Report – Alabama and Mississippi
Posted on27. Mar, 2011 by Jesse.
I chased this day with Mike Brady and Jeremy Degenhart. We initially targeted the Grenada, MS area on Saturday morning, but decided to head further east into the Golden Triangle region of eastern Mississippi after later convective trends indicated that initiation of the first round of convection would commence late morning or early afternoon across [...]
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Monday March 28th – Texas
Posted on25. Mar, 2011 by Adam.
Still keeping an eye on Mondays potential in Texas. It doesn’t take a genius to notice that the recent GFS and NAM solutions have some major differences. Given the difficulty the GFS and EURO have had handling this system this should not come as a surprise. Model differences are normal, but this is pretty dramatic. [...]
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What’s Next?
Posted on24. Mar, 2011 by Adam.
The active weather of recent days has put the spring fever into full swing for much of the nation, warm weather sunshine enthusiasts and storm chasers alike. Naturally we as weather enthusiasts want this trend to continue but unfortunately if appears as if Old Man Winter is going to remind us he he can still [...]
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Potential Severe Weather Sunday March 20th 2011
Posted on20. Mar, 2011 by Adam.
It is the first day of Spring and appropriately so there is a marginal risk for severe weather across parts of the Midwest. SPC has included much of northern IL as well as much of IA, parts of MO and KS in a slight risk for severe weather. Taking a look at surface obs we [...]
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Vernal Bliss = Chasing Prospects on the Horizon?
Posted on14. Mar, 2011 by Jesse.
The vernal equinox will usher in the first official day of spring next Sunday when the sun crosses the true celestial equator. The days are slowly getting longer and the northern hemisphere will soon be engulfed in more widespread, seasonal temperatures. The medium and long-range numerical models are hinting at a more favorable synoptic pattern [...]
