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Posted on26. Aug, 2012 by Jesse.
Hurricane warnings have been posted from the FL panhandle to central Louisiana, and the latest suite of model data is suggesting a more western landfall. This could potentially have greater impacts for New Orleans, ironically, on the seventh anniversary of Katrina’s devastating blow to the region. However, it’s equally plausible that landfall could be west [...]
Posted on24. May, 2012 by Jesse.
There’s not much change in thinking to the post that we made on Facebook last night, but just as a heads up, if you live in the Upper Mississippi river valley and western Great Lakes region, strong upper-level dynamics are taking aim on this corridor as the surface low presently over the Plains deepens and [...]
Posted on23. Mar, 2012 by Jesse.
An interesting severe weather potential is possible later today across parts of the eastern Corn Belt, mid-Mississippi River valley and the Ohio River valley. I’d expect to see more cold air funnel reports as we’ve had the past several days across parts of OK and KS, as well as the potential for low-topped convection [...]
Posted on18. Mar, 2012 by Jesse.
As winter maintains its last grasp on the U.S. (the spring equinox arrives Tuesday, March 20th), the first widespread, appreciable SVR weather event for the Plains appears poised to unfold across the southern Plains into the mid-Mississippi Valley regions today and tomorrow as an upper-level trough, currently located over the Great Basin/Sierra Nevada regions, gyrates [...]
Posted on15. Mar, 2012 by Jesse.
Based on 00z/15 (ECMWF and GFS) and 12z/15 (NAM) model runs, there appear to be two severe weather events poised to impact parts of the southern Plains this weekend, with the best chances coming on Friday, March 16th over parts of the Red River Valley region and Sunday, March 18th over parts of the southern [...]
Posted on12. Mar, 2012 by Jesse.
Some of the Convective Addiction members will be closely monitoring a more local setup today across the western Great Lakes region courtesy of an upper-level low that has moved into the Upper Mississippi River Valley this morning, with a 70 kt 500 mb jet core nosing into WC IL. A small band of convection is [...]
Posted on10. Mar, 2012 by Jesse.
The next chance for SVR weather may arrive tomorrow afternoon courtesy of a closed low that is currently situated over the four corners region of the SW CONUS, which is forecast to gyrate eastward int the central Plains by late tomorrow. A pseudo-warm front is poised to lie across the ARKLATEX region, lifting into the [...]
Posted on04. Mar, 2012 by Jesse.
Several Convective Addiction chasers intercepted supercells in southern Indiana on Friday, March 2, 2012 as part of the regional severe weather outbreak on that day. We’ll take a brief look at the synoptic overview and then link some of the photos and footage from that event. Our thoughts and prayers are with the victims who [...]
Posted on03. Mar, 2012 by Jesse.
First, we extend our condolences to all of those who were affected by yesterday’s tragic weather. There were indeed a number of casualties, along with numerous properties damaged, but it’s also important to note how much worse things could have been without the advent of modern severe weather forecasting skill. The number of dead and [...]
Posted on01. Mar, 2012 by Jesse.
A very potent severe weather setup appears poised to unfold across parts of the Lower and Middle Mississippi River valleys and points eastward, namely Friday afternoon through early Saturday morning, with all modes of severe weather possible, including destructive winds and damaging tornadoes. At the helm is a rather potent, progressive, and stalwart upper-level [...]