Archive for May, 2010
Posted on31. May, 2010 by Jesse.
The next chance for significant severe weather appears to be developing across the Upper Midwest for late Tuesday afternoon, extending into the evening and overnight hours. It should be noted that the forecast dynamics associated with this event are presently pointing towards the ontogenesis of a potent MCS-type scenario (per 12z model runs on 05/31), [...]
Posted on19. May, 2010 by Brad.
Here is some quick video and pictures from my chase today in NC Oklahoma.
Posted on14. May, 2010 by Scott.
I finally got around to editing, rendering, and uploading full 1080p videos(you’ll have to go to the youtube site itself to view them in 1080p) of the Wakita, Oklahoma tornado event to youtube. Part 1 takes you from the first signs that we finally had a strong low-level mesocyclone developing, through the fantastic multiple vortex [...]
Posted on13. May, 2010 by Adam.
Hey everyone, Adam here. Thank you all for tuning in to the site during the last few weeks. It really has been quite active. The 2010 season started off as slow as a season can start, but woke up with a vengeance beginning in the last week of April. Since then Danny and I have [...]
Posted on11. May, 2010 by Jesse.
Continuing the active weather pattern, Wednesday has the potential to bring another round of severe weather to the Midwest. The noxious trough that has been responsible for the past few days of active weather on the Plains will start to eject eastward towards the Great Lakes on Wednesday. With the ejection of the trough, a [...]
Posted on09. May, 2010 by Jesse.
Now that the actual event is drawing closer, and previous model uncertainties are beginning to become clearer, it’s time once again to revisit Monday’s potential for some significant severe weather over a relatively narrow corridor from northern Texas into central Kansas. It was decided to refer more to the NAM/WRF for today’s forecast, as we [...]
Posted on08. May, 2010 by Jesse.
The written pericope of this particular forecast overview will be more succinct, as final timing and placement of attendant surface features, such as the placement of the dry line/dew point front, timing of ejection and final placement of the trough, along with the exact nature of the thermodynamic environment associated with Monday’s potential severe weather [...]
Posted on06. May, 2010 by Jesse.
A 998 mb low will promulgate into the Southern Great Lakes late Friday morning. An attenuating warm front will lift north of the Ohio Valley, reaching northern Indiana and Ohio by early Friday afternoon, creating a moderately unstable atmosphere should maximum solar isolation indeed coalesce. Forecast models show dew points across the region reaching the [...]
Posted on03. May, 2010 by Jesse.
Note: The system in question is still several days out. As such, the current forecast is somewhat generalized and subject to change. Inherent differences in timing, strength and placement of synoptic features will certainly change between now and the end of the week. As a result, the current forecast should be taken as a general [...]